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Stochastic Fluctuation-Driven Escape from Extinction: Basics and Application to Virology Full article

Journal Chemical Physics Letters
ISSN: 0009-2614 , E-ISSN: 1873-4448
Output data Year: 2025, Volume: 876, Article number : 142168, Pages count : 5 DOI: 10.1016/j.cplett.2025.142168
Tags Extinction and explosion; Intracellular viral kinetics; Model; Monte Carlo simulations
Authors Zhdanov Vladimir P. 1
Affiliations
1 Boreskov Institute of Catalysis, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk 630090, Russia

Funding (1)

1 Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation FWUR-2024-0032

Abstract: The statistical theory of fluctuation-induced escape from extinction to a stable state or kinetic explosion is of interest in the context of initial infection of cells by virions in order to understand the limits of the applicability of the independent action hypothesis. Herein, the corresponding generic model is scrutinized by using Monte Carlo simulations. The conventional steady-state approximation is shown to overestimate appreciably the escape probability. Then, the infection of individuals inhaling air with virion-containing respiratory droplets is described by extending the Wells–Riley model.
Cite: Zhdanov V.P.
Stochastic Fluctuation-Driven Escape from Extinction: Basics and Application to Virology
Chemical Physics Letters. 2025. V.876. 142168 :1-5. DOI: 10.1016/j.cplett.2025.142168 Scopus
Dates:
Submitted: Jan 22, 2025
Accepted: May 19, 2025
Published online: Jun 5, 2025
Published print: Oct 1, 2025
Identifiers:
Scopus: 2-s2.0-105008105345
Citing: Пока нет цитирований
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